SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
52.24% ( -0.02) | 22.77% ( 0.03) | 24.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.17) | 41.01% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.17) | 63.4% ( 0.16) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( -0.07) | 15.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( -0.12) | 44.9% ( 0.12) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.1) | 29.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.12) | 65.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.99% |
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