SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
42.9% ( -0.05) | 25.89% ( 0) | 31.21% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.01) | 50.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( 0.01) | 72.65% ( -0) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.02) | 23.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( -0.03) | 57.54% ( 0.03) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0.04) | 30.25% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( 0.04) | 66.42% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.21% |
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