Darmstadt supporters will be expecting a response from their team this weekend, but their chances of claiming a positive result are slim considering that they come up against a Champions League-chasing Leipzig outfit on home soil.
Die Roten Bullen have not lost any of their previous 30 top-flight meetings with newly-promoted teams and it is difficult to back against a comfortable victory for the hosts this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.