SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
26.61% ( 0.14) | 22.69% ( -0.01) | 50.7% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.18) | 39.16% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.19) | 61.49% ( -0.19) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( 0.2) | 27.55% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( 0.25) | 63.07% ( -0.25) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.02) | 15.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.04) | 44.65% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.7% |
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