SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
44.46% ( 0.02) | 22.5% ( 0.01) | 33.04% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.2% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.07) | 34.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.79% ( -0.08) | 56.21% ( 0.08) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.02) | 16.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0.03) | 45.43% ( 0.04) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( -0.05) | 21.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% ( -0.08) | 53.99% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 33.04% |
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