Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.