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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
SD

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Darmstadt

Hollerbach (62')
Trimmel (77'), Vogt (81'), Schafer (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zimmermann (75'), Gjasula (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

Union Berlin have brought in several new faces in the January transfer window, with Bjelica desperate to improve his side's form. However, it could take time for some of these players to bed in, even if they should have enough quality to survive in the end. Darmstadt are a difficult team to read, but ultimately they are struggling to win games at this level for one reason in particular: their inability to keep clean sheets. We expect them to put up another fight on Sunday, but ultimately fall to a damaging defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawSV Darmstadt 98
58.81% (0.169 0.17) 22.04% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07) 19.15% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (0.17599999999999 0.18)44.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.169 0.17)67.16% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (0.11499999999999 0.11)14.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.75% (0.217 0.22)43.25% (-0.216 -0.22)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73%37.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 58.8%
    SV Darmstadt 98 19.15%
    Draw 22.04%
Union BerlinDrawSV Darmstadt 98
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.8%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 19.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-3 Dortmund
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Darmstadt
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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