Union Berlin have brought in several new faces in the January transfer window, with Bjelica desperate to improve his side's form. However, it could take time for some of these players to bed in, even if they should have enough quality to survive in the end.
Darmstadt are a difficult team to read, but ultimately they are struggling to win games at this level for one reason in particular: their inability to keep clean sheets. We expect them to put up another fight on Sunday, but ultimately fall to a damaging defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
0.17) 
-0.07) 
