SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
69.36% ( -0.1) | 17.84% ( 0.13) | 12.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( -0.65) | 38.01% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( -0.69) | 60.27% ( 0.69) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( -0.2) | 9.9% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.21% ( -0.46) | 32.78% ( 0.46) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.46) | 41.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( -0.41) | 77.76% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.83% Total : 69.36% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.84% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.8% |
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