While RB Leipzig have lost the last two games against this opponent, both of those games were at Volkswagen Arena. Back at home and in good form, we feel the hosts will take all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.