SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reading in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reading.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
43.42% ( 0.18) | 24.33% ( -0.06) | 32.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.26) | 43.46% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.26) | 65.86% ( -0.26) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0.19) | 20.17% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.54% ( 0.3) | 52.46% ( -0.3) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 0.06) | 25.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( 0.08) | 60.98% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.26% |
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