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RL
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
LT

Reading
2 - 1
Luton

McIntyre (9'), Semedo (41')
McIntyre (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
LuaLua (90+1')
Cranie (25'), LuaLua (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawLuton Town
43.53%28.4%28.07%
Both teams to score 44.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.69%61.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77%81.22%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36%63.63%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81%38.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.95%
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.53%
    Luton Town 28.07%
    Draw 28.39%
ReadingDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 8.34%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 28.07%

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