Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.