SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Belgium |
30.76% ( -0.39) | 26.01% ( -0) | 43.22% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.14) | 51.43% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.12) | 73.24% ( 0.12) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.34) | 30.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -0.4) | 67.18% ( 0.4) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.13) | 23.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.19) | 57.74% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.21% |
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