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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
RO
France
2 - 0
Rep. Ireland
Tchouameni (19'), Thuram (48')
Hernandez (21'), Griezmann (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cullen (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: France 3-0 Republic of Ireland

Republic of Ireland frustrated France in spells during their last meeting six months ago and they will require another dogged display if they wish to claim a famous result in Paris. However, Les Bleus are unsurprisingly regarded as favourites for this contest and the abundance of attacking quality at Deschamps's disposal should help fire his side to another victory in qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawRepublic of Ireland
57.31% (-0.073 -0.07) 24.66% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 18.03% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.77% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)56.66% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)19.7% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)51.71% (0.055 0.05)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (0.055 0.05)45.5% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)81.33% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    France 57.3%
    Republic of Ireland 18.03%
    Draw 24.66%
FranceDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 14.56%
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Norway
Thursday, November 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

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