Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 4 | 9 | 12 |
2 | Greece | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Republic of Ireland | 3 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 4 | 9 | 12 |
2 | Greece | 3 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Republic of Ireland | 3 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result | ||
France | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
57.31% (![]() | 24.66% (![]() | 18.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.35% (![]() | 56.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% (![]() | 77.62% (![]() |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% (![]() | 19.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% (![]() | 51.71% (![]() |
Republic of Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.5% (![]() | 45.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.68% (![]() | 81.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
France | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
1-0 @ 14.56% 2-0 @ 11.82% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 11.46% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.53% Total : 18.03% |
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