SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Belgium | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Belgium |
24.65% ( 3.56) | 26.93% ( 1.58) | 48.41% ( -5.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.78% ( -2.58) | 58.22% ( 2.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -2.07) | 78.86% ( 2.07) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( 2.01) | 39.42% ( -2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( 1.82) | 76.12% ( -1.82) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -3.33) | 24.13% ( 3.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -4.99) | 58.44% ( 4.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 1.26) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.3)Other @ 1.43% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.9)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 13.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.61% ( -1.01)1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 4.56% ( -1.01)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.57)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.42)Other @ 2.43% Total : 48.41% |
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