SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Finland had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Finland |
53.82% ( 0.23) | 25.65% ( -0.17) | 20.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.87% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( 0.51) | 57.24% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( 0.41) | 78.09% ( -0.41) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( 0.31) | 21.34% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( 0.47) | 54.29% ( -0.47) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.22) | 42.96% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( 0.19) | 79.26% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.02% Total : 20.53% |
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