SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
17.36% ( -2.43) | 21.03% ( -1.21) | 61.61% ( 3.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( 1.55) | 43.2% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( 1.51) | 65.6% ( -1.51) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -1.78) | 38.34% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -1.75) | 75.1% ( 1.75) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( 1.65) | 13.5% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( 3.2) | 40.54% ( -3.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.53)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-2 @ 10.37% ( 0.51) 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.93% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.4)0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.54)1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.28)1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.59% |
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