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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
31.04% ( 1.14) | 25.7% ( 0.22) | 43.25% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.45) | 50.03% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.4) | 72.01% ( 0.39) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( 0.57) | 30% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( 0.68) | 66.11% ( -0.68) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( -0.84) | 23.02% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( -1.24) | 56.84% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.25% |
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