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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
32.71% ( -0.43) | 26.4% ( 0.26) | 40.89% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( -1.18) | 52.38% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -1.02) | 74.06% ( 1.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.86) | 30.05% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.82% ( -1.05) | 66.18% ( 1.05) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.44) | 25.25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.61) | 60% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.89% |
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