SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 79.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 5.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (12.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
79.94% ( 0.04) | 14.33% ( -0.02) | 5.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 34.59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( -0) | 45.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( -0.01) | 67.74% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.79% ( 0.01) | 9.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.84% ( 0.02) | 31.16% ( -0.02) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.07) | 61.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.41% ( -0.03) | 91.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 2-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 79.94% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 14.33% | 0-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 5.72% |
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