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Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio da Madeira

Atletico Mineiro
vs.
River Plate

 
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Semi-Finals clash between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Vasco vs. Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for River Plate has a probability of 30.98% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest River Plate win is 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawRiver Plate
41.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 27.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 30.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.11% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.018999999999991 0.02)27.09% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (0.026000000000003 0.03)62.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (0.004999999999999 0)70.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 41.52%
    River Plate 30.98%
    Draw 27.49%
Atletico MineiroDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio
Wednesday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Vitoria
Saturday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, October 2 at 11.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Talleres
Sunday, September 29 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, September 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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