It would be a stretch for a side as consistent and strong as Mineiro to lose by three goals, and although River Plate have plenty of firepower, we do not believe it will be enough to turn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
53.35% ( -0.03)	24.73% ( 0.02)	21.92% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

-0.05)

52.46% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

-0.04)

74.13% (

0.04)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

-0.03)

19.62% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42% (

-0.05)

51.58% (

0.05)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.21% (

-0.01)

38.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.01)

75.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

River Plate 53.34%

Atletico Mineiro 21.92%

Draw 24.72%

River Plate	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.92%