SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 12.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
66.94% ( -0.27) | 21.04% ( 0.12) | 12.02% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.43% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.12) | 53.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( -0.1) | 75.05% ( 0.1) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.13) | 15.18% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.2% ( -0.23) | 43.8% ( 0.24) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.67% ( 0.19) | 52.32% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.78% ( 0.13) | 86.21% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% 2-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 66.94% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.02% |
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