SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
67.51% ( -0.01) | 19.99% ( 0) | 12.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( -0.01) | 48.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( -0.01) | 70.53% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0) | 13.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( -0.01) | 40.27% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0) | 48.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.54% ( -0) | 83.46% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 2-0 @ 13.07% 1-0 @ 12.99% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 67.49% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 12.5% |
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