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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 1
Newell's OB

Solari (30', 33'), Pinola (72'), Suarez (80')
Perez (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perez (64')
Sordo (27'), Mendez (41'), Ditta (45+5'), Balzi (67')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, August 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Colon
Monday, August 8 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawNewell's Old Boys
67.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.99% (0.0030000000000001 0) 12.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 44.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)70.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)48.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.49%
    Newell's Old Boys 12.5%
    Draw 19.99%
River PlateDrawNewell's Old Boys
2-0 @ 13.07%
1-0 @ 12.99%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 67.49%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.44%
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 12.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, August 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Sarmiento
Monday, August 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 0-3 River Plate
Sunday, July 24 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Gimnasia
Friday, July 22 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Colon
Monday, August 8 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-2 Defensa
Monday, July 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Thursday, July 21 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Racing
Saturday, July 16 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-1 Newell's OB
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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