SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Talleres |
54.3% ( -0.62) | 24.33% ( 0.56) | 21.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% ( -2.17) | 51.48% ( 2.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -1.92) | 73.28% ( 1.92) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -1.04) | 18.87% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( -1.77) | 50.34% ( 1.78) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -1.16) | 38.78% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -1.12) | 75.51% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.37% |
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