SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
28.01% ( -0.11) | 26.37% ( -0) | 45.61% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.03) | 54.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.03) | 75.53% ( 0.03) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.1) | 34.33% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( -0.1) | 71.03% ( 0.1) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.04) | 23.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( 0.06) | 57.77% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.01% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.61% |
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