SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.61%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
66.28% ( 0.16) | 21.85% ( -0.23) | 11.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.95% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.25% ( 0.9) | 56.75% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( 0.71) | 77.7% ( -0.71) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.37) | 16.49% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.79% ( 0.66) | 46.21% ( -0.66) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.44% ( 0.67) | 54.56% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.38% ( 0.4) | 87.62% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 66.27% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 11.87% |
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