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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
11.69% ( -0.42) | 15.9% ( -0.22) | 72.41% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0.08) | 31.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.27% ( -0.09) | 52.73% ( 0.09) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.71) | 38.42% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( -0.69) | 75.18% ( 0.69) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.47% ( 0.11) | 7.53% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.01% ( 0.28) | 26.99% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.69% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 15.9% | 0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 8.34% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 5.4% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)1-6 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 72.41% |
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