Looking to bounce back from a disappointing result last weekend, we see Ajax coming out firing on home turf at the weekend. Ten Hag has a strong squad to field, and we expect them to outclass the strugglers in their bid to stay at the summit of the division, given their eye-catching records at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 93.87%. A draw had a probability of 4.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 1.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.69%) and 2-0 (12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (0.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
93.87%	4.85%	1.27%

Both teams to score 28.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.78%

23.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.39%

42.61%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.51%

2.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.33%

11.67%

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

29.39%

70.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.82%

95.18%

Score Analysis

Ajax 93.85%

RKC Waalwijk 1.28%

Draw 4.85%

Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
3-0 @ 14.8% 4-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 12% 5-0 @ 10.13% 1-0 @ 6.49% 6-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.77% 2-1 @ 4.18% 5-1 @ 3.53% 7-0 @ 3.31% 6-1 @ 2.18% 8-0 @ 1.53% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.69% Total : 93.85%	1-1 @ 2.26% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 4.85%	Other @ 1.28% Total : 1.28%