Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.02) 
