Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Rubin Kazan	Draw	Sochi
41.29%	26.56%	32.15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.83% (

-0)

53.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26% (

-0)

74.74%

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

-0)

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

-0)

60.21%

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0)

30.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

-0)

67.1%

Score Analysis

Rubin Kazan 41.28%

Sochi 32.15%

Draw 26.55%

Rubin Kazan	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.28%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.15%