SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Benin had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Benin |
44.2% ( 0.01) | 30.3% ( 0.02) | 25.5% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 38.41% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.07) | 68.07% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.02% ( -0.05) | 85.98% ( 0.05) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.03) | 30.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.04) | 67.29% ( 0.04) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.07) | 44.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.6% ( -0.06) | 80.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 16.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.2% | 0-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.29% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.49% |
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