Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
29.21% ( 0.06)	24.05% ( -0.02)	46.74% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.41% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35% (

0.14)

43.64% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

0.13)

66.04% (

-0.13)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.11)

28.03% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.14)

63.68% (

-0.14)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.04)

18.84% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71% (

0.06)

50.28% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 29.21%

Consadole Sapporo 46.74%

Draw 24.05%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Consadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.74%