SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Yokohama FC |
50.05% ( 0.22) | 23.6% ( -0.06) | 26.35% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.16) | 43.58% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( 0.15) | 65.98% ( -0.15) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.14) | 17.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( 0.25) | 48.02% ( -0.25) |
| Yokohama FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.03) | 30.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( -0.04) | 66.2% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Yokohama FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.35% |
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