Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Pisa
36.67% ( 0.27)	26.46% ( -0.05)	36.86% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

0.19)

52.15% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

0.16)

73.87% (

-0.17)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

0.25)

27.48% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

0.32)

62.97% (

-0.33)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

-0.04)

27.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

-0.05)

62.83% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 36.67%

Pisa 36.86%

Draw 26.46%

Salernitana	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.86%