Not only are Roma feeling refreshed under new management, Salernitana have conceded an average of two goals per game at Stadio Arechi this season and are brittle at the back. The visitors should therefore return to base with three more points in their pocket.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.21) 
