It could take some time for Roma's new signings to gel, but pre-season evidence suggests they can be a potent force in Serie A this season. Facing Salernitana's vulnerable defence, the visitors will get off to a flying start with a first-day win at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Roma
27.07%	24.75% ( 0.01)	48.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.47% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88% (

-0.04)

48.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

-0.03)

70.28% (

0.03)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0.02)

31.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

-0.02)

68.34% (

0.02)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-0.02)

20.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.78% (

-0.03)

52.21% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 27.07%

Roma 48.18%

Draw 24.75%

Salernitana	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.07%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 48.18%