Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-0.05) 
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