SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.87% ( -0) | 25.91% ( -0) | 38.22% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( 0.01) | 49.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0) | 71.8% ( -0) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% | 26.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.86% | 62.13% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0) | 25.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.65% ( 0.01) | 60.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.22% |
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