Although it may take some piecing together, Como have added some smart signings to their promotion-winning squad and should eliminate a Sampdoria side whose priority is joining them in Serie A next year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Como
42.3% ( 0.08)	26.58% ( -0.1)	31.11% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.42% (

0.4)

53.58% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.91% (

0.34)

75.09% (

-0.34)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

0.22)

25.06% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

0.31)

59.74% (

-0.31)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

0.22)

31.75% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.25)

68.18% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 42.3%

Como 31.11%

Draw 26.58%

Sampdoria	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.3%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.11%