SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (6.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.19%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
28.97% ( -0.38) | 31.77% ( 0.05) | 39.26% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 36.88% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.2) | 70.79% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.26% ( -0.13) | 87.74% ( 0.13) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.44) | 42.91% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.79% ( -0.38) | 79.21% ( 0.38) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( 0.1) | 35.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 0.1) | 72.17% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 28.97% | 0-0 @ 15.19% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.76% | 0-1 @ 15.77% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.25% |
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