Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Estudiantes
39.79% ( -0.08)	27.39% ( 0.05)	32.83% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75% (

-0.2)

56.25% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.7% (

-0.16)

77.3% (

0.16)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.14)

27.64% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.18)

63.18% (

0.18)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

-0.08)

31.93% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

-0.09)

68.38% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 39.78%

Estudiantes 32.82%

Draw 27.38%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.82%