SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37.26%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.6%) and 1-2 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.9%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Racing Club |
31.03% ( 0.9) | 31.71% ( 0.56) | 37.26% ( -1.46) |
| Both teams to score 37.56% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.73% ( -1.35) | 70.27% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.59% ( -0.87) | 87.41% ( 0.87) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( -0.08) | 40.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( -0.07) | 77.49% ( 0.07) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -1.71) | 36.41% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -1.77) | 73.2% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.29% Total : 31.02% | 0-0 @ 14.9% ( 0.73) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.71% | 0-1 @ 15.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.33)1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.26% |
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