SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
24.75% ( -0.42) | 22% ( -0.12) | 53.25% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 61.64% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.38% ( 0.14) | 37.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.14% ( 0.15) | 59.86% ( -0.16) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.24) | 28.12% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.31) | 63.79% ( 0.3) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.75% ( 0.22) | 14.24% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58% ( 0.43) | 42% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 24.75% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.25% |
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