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SA
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
ON

Saudi Arabia
2 - 1
Oman

Ghareeb (78'), Albulayhi (90+6')
Tambakti (13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al-Yahyaei (14' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Oman

Starting with perhaps their trickiest test of the group stage, Saudi Arabia could find Oman a tough nut to crack and may have to settle for a draw from their Asian Cup opener. The Reds are set up to contain bigger teams and counter-attack at pace, and that should help them pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Oman had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawOman
40.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 29.84% (0.058 0.06) 29.8% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 41.62% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (-0.193 -0.19)65.27% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (-0.134 -0.13)84.08% (0.133 0.13)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-0.104 -0.1)31.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.118 -0.12)68.18% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.15 -0.15)39.01% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.143 -0.14)75.73% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 40.36%
    Oman 29.8%
    Draw 29.83%
Saudi ArabiaDrawOman
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 12.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.83%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 29.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine
Tuesday, January 9 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 Lebanon
Thursday, January 4 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Pakistan
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: China 0-2 Oman
Friday, December 29 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-0 Oman
Tuesday, November 21 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Oman 3-0 Chinese Taipei
Thursday, November 16 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: USA 4-0 Oman
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Oman 2-1 Palestine
Wednesday, September 6 at 3.45pm in International Friendlies


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