SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
29.5% ( 0.19) | 26.4% ( -0.35) | 44.1% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( 1.45) | 53.49% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( 1.21) | 75.01% ( -1.21) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( 0.9) | 32.87% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( 0.99) | 69.44% ( -0.99) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.72) | 24.12% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 1.02) | 58.42% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.1% |
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