Farense and Famalicao have struggled for results in recent weeks and will head into this one looking to pick up a morale-boosting win. With just three points separating the sides, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio de Sao Luís with both teams settling for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.03) 
-0.06) 
