Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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