SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Finland had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Finland |
54.56% ( -0.04) | 23.38% ( -0.02) | 22.07% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.14) | 46.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.13) | 69.06% ( -0.12) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.04) | 17.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( 0.07) | 47.2% ( -0.06) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.13) | 35.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( 0.13) | 72.23% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Finland |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.56% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.07% |
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