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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 29, 2024 at 12.50am UK
CenturyLink Field
HD

Seattle
0 - 0
Houston

Seattle win 5-4 on penalties

Paulo (61'), Gomez Andrade (63'), Leyva (72'), Rothrock (83')
FT

Herrera (55')
Carrasquilla (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo

Given how strong both teams were defensively during the regular season, we are anticipating a tight affair here with neither team committing too much in attack.   However, Seattle Sounders will know the onus is more on them to make home advantage count, and we fancy them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
52.67% (0.258 0.26) 23.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 24.15% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.142 -0.14)43.69% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)66.08% (0.142 0.14)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.59% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (0.072000000000003 0.07)46.39% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)31.89% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.316 -0.32)68.33% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 52.67%
    Houston Dynamo 24.15%
    Draw 23.17%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Seattle
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Kansas
Monday, September 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 New England
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Houston
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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